University of Houston Conduct Polls on 2024 Election, Results Surprisingly Lean Democrat

University of Houston's Hobby School of Public Affairs has conducted polls regarding the 2024 elections, particularly focusing on Texas and Harris County:
Presidential Election in Texas:

Polls indicate a tight race with Donald Trump leading Kamala Harris. A YouGov poll shared on X posts shows Trump at 51% and Harris at 46% among likely voters in Texas.

The survey was fielded between September 26 and October 10, 2024, in English and Spanish, via a YouGov panel of registered voters who were considered likely to vote in the 2024 General Election. The likely voters were selected using a series of questions related to past and expected future voting behavior. The statewide analysis population of 1,329, with a margin of error of +/- 2.69%, was matched to a sampling frame on gender, age, race/ethnicity, education, and partisanship, and is representative of the Texas likely voter population. The same process was followed for the analysis population of 491 Harris County likely voters, contained within this larger statewide population, which was utilized for all of the analysis contained in this report, with this population representative of the 2024 Harris County likely voter population. The margin of error for this report’s Harris County population of 491 likely voters is +/- 4.42%. With a population of more than 4.8 million, Harris County is the third most populous county in the United States, with more residents than 26 states. The Texas Votes 2024 study includes four reports. This first report focused on the statewide races for president, U.S. Senate and the Texas Railroad Commission, along with issues influencing vote intention, and candidate favorability. This report focuses on county-wide non-judicial elections and candidates in Harris County along with policy issues affecting Harris County that are of concern to voters. Forthcoming reports will cover election integrity and administration statewide and attitudes about electricity infrastructure and distribution in Harris County.

EXECUTIVE SUMMARY In the 2024 Harris County Sheriff election, Democrat Ed Gonzalez (53%) leads Republican Mike Knox (37%) by a 16 percentage point margin, with 10% undecided. In the 2024 Harris County District Attorney election, Democrat Sean Teare (52%) leads Republican Dan Simons (38%) by a 14 percentage point margin, with 10% undecided. In the 2024 Harris County Tax Assessor-Collector election, Democrat Annette Ramirez (50%) leads Republican Steve Radack (38%) by a 12 percentage point margin, with 12% undecided. In the 2024 County Attorney election in Harris County, Democrat Christian Menefee (48%) leads Republican Jacqueline Lucci Smith (37%) by an 11 percentage point margin, with 15% undecided. An absolute majority of Harris County likely voters do not know enough about Simons (56%), Lucci Smith (56%), Knox (52%), Ramirez (52%) or Menefee (51%) to have an opinion of them.

Voter Concerns: The survey also found eight issues that Harris County likely voters classified in the top three issues affecting the county. These are electricity service reliability (36%), rising property taxes (33%), housing affordability (32%), flooding (30%), condition of roads and streets (26%), crime (23%), public school quality (23%) and traffic congestion (21%).